I’m a research scientist in the demand forecasting group at Amazon in New York City. My research interests (past and present) include hierarchical Bayesian modeling, MCMC methods, data and model visualization, text mining, and other topics related to applied statistics.
This is my personal site, which is a mix of statistics research, side projects (mostly sports-related) and other stuff.
(2016) Dean Foster, Howard Karloff and Kenneth E. Shirley, "How well does the
standard body mass index or variations with a different exponent predict human
lifespan?", Obesity, in press.
(2015). Kenneth E. Shirley and Andrew Gelman. "Hierarchical models for estimating state and demographic trends in US death penalty public opinion
", Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series A (Statistics in Society), Volume 178, Number 1, pp. 1 - 28.
(2010). Kenneth E. Shirley, Dylan S. Small, Kevin G. Lynch, Stephen A. Maisto, and David W. Oslin.
"Hidden Markov models for alcoholism treatment trial data", Annals of
Applied Statistics, Volume 4, Number 1, pp. 366-395.
(2009). Shane T. Jensen, Kenneth E. Shirley, and Abraham G. Wyner. "Bayesball: A Bayesian
hierarchical model for evaluating fielding in major league baseball", Annals
of Applied Statistics, Volume 3, Number 2, pp. 491-520.
CONFERENCE AND WORKSHOP PAPERS
(2015). Wei Wang and Kenneth E. Shirley. "Breaking Bad: Detecting malicious domains using word segmentation", IEEE 2015 workshop on Web 2.0 Security and Privacy, San Jose, CA, May 21, 2015.
(2014). Carson Sievert and Kenneth E. Shirley. "LDAvis: A method for visualizing and interpreting topics",
ACL 2014 Workshop on Interactive Language Learning, Visualization, and Interfaces,
Baltimore, MD, June 27, 2014.
(2013). Amy Reibman, Kenneth E. Shirley, and Chao Tian. "A Probabilistic Pairwise-Preference
Predictor For Image Quality", Proceedings of the IEEE International Conference on
Image Processing, Melbourne, Australia, Sept. 15 - 18, 2013. pp. 413 - 417.
(2012). Daniel Osgood and Kenneth E. Shirley, "The Value of Information in Index Insurance
for Farmers in Africa". In Ramanan Laxminarayan and Molly K. Macauley (eds.), "The Value
of Information: Methodological Frontiers and New Applications in Environment and Health",
pp. 1-18, Springer, New York, USA.
(2011). Andrew Gelman and Kenneth E. Shirley, "Inference and Monitoring Convergence". In
Steve Brooks, Andrew Gelman, Galin L. Jones, and Xiao-Li Meng (eds.), "Handbook
of Markov Chain Monte Carlo", pp. 163-174, Chapman & Hall/CRC, New York, USA.